"Hello..helloo...is this thing on?"--heard last night on 20m. Only signal I could here on the band.... 73 Chip W1YW
Condx were so bad last night on 20 that I only worked two guys in Australia and one Wallis & Futuna. Thank you, Joe Taylor. 73, Bill
Unfortunately it's going to now last well past FD. Unfortunate to say the least however, 6m will be very active it seems. It has been here in Cen Ca. We may get a break and get some band openings, but is unlikely
Update 6-27-17 1300 UTC Today's CME has been preceded by a 800 km/ps low density solar wind blast which started about 0200 UTC 6-27 and is showing signs of slowing back to the 600 km/ps level. The CME is still forecast to arrive about 1700 today. Region 2371 is forecast to exit Earth View late today or early 6/28. Old region 2360 (North Lat 15 deg) is due to return to Earth View over the next 24 to 48 hours. Region 2371 is at North Lat 17 deg. 2360 has been firing off a few practice rounds over the course of the past few hours. Today's SWPC Solar forecast is: Solar activity is likely to reach moderate levels (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) with a slight chance for X-class (R3 or greater) flare activity on days one and two (27-28 Jun) due to the flare potential of Region 2371. By day three (29 Jun) Region 2371 is expected to fully transit the west limb and solar activity is expected to decrease to only a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for X-class flares. The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled levels until midday to late on day one (27 Jun). The anticipated arrival of the 25 Jun CME is expected to cause periods of G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm conditions for the remainder of day one and day two (27-28 Jun). A decrease to unsettled to active field conditions are expected on day three (29 Jun) as CME effects subside.
Update 6-27-17 2100 UTC So far, no sign of the forecast CME event. This not unusual. Old sunspot region 2360 is starting to make an appearance at 1900 UTC on the eastern limb of the sun at about 15 degrees north. It is about the size of Earth and much smaller than now departing region 2371. Be safe and keep your eyes on the skies this weekend for Earth Weather. 73's Keith KG7QCK
Update 6-28-15 0030 UTC The ACE spacecraft is located at the L1 Lagrange location which is about 1 million miles closer to the sun than Earth. The on board magnetometer appears to have detected a brush with the CME from about 1200 UTC to 1700 UTC 6-27-15. It may have been too weak or the pathway was off angle to disturb the Earth to any large degree. KG7QCK
Update 6-28-15 2130 UTC Anticipated CME Passes Quietly By The Earth published: Sunday, June 28, 2015 16:11 UTC A CME associated with the R2 (Moderate) Radio Blackout on 25 June glanced past the Earth early on 27 June, but did not cause geomagnetic storms as forecasters had predicted. The sunspot region that produced the event, NOAA AR 12371, is beginning to transit the west limb and forecasters are expecting low solar activity for the upcoming week. SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/anticipated-cme-passes-quietly-earth
Update 6-29-15 0300 UTC Old region 2360 is bringing a few friends to the party. All are relatively small so far.
G1-Minor Storm Onset 7-4-15 2140 UTC Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 1025 Issue Time: 2015 Jul 04 1935 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Valid From: 2015 Jul 04 1935 UTC Valid To: 2015 Jul 05 0700 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. Space Weather Message Code: WARK06 Serial Number: 275 Issue Time: 2015 Jul 04 2051 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected Valid From: 2015 Jul 04 2050 UTC Valid To: 2015 Jul 05 0100 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. Sign Up for Space Weather Warnings and Alerts at: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
Update 7-5-15 0300 UTC As of this evening the sun is peppered with 111 small sunspots in 8 active regions. Today these 111 spots total 390 millionths. All are Alpha and Beta magnetic types which are low magnetic energy. A sunspot that registers 1 millionth has a surface area equal to 0.000001 times the area of the Sun's Earth-facing hemisphere. Typically, a big sunspot measures 300 to 500 millionths. The entire surface area of the Earth is only 169 millionths of the solar disk. roduct: Daily Solar Data DSD.txt :Issued: 0225 UT 05 Jul 2015 # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Last 30 Days Daily Solar Data # # Sunspot Stanford GOES15 # Radio SESC Area Solar X-Ray ------ Flares ------ # Flux Sunspot 10E-6 New Mean Bkgd X-Ray Optical # Date 10.7cm Number Hemis. Regions Field Flux C M X S 1 2 3 #--------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2015 06 16 136 87 680 1 -999 B8.6 8 0 0 13 0 0 0 2015 06 17 136 94 940 0 -999 B6.2 4 0 0 11 2 0 0 2015 06 18 151 82 1120 0 -999 B9.4 8 2 0 15 3 0 0 2015 06 19 137 74 1320 0 -999 B6.8 8 0 0 18 0 0 0 2015 06 20 135 89 1410 0 -999 B5.7 3 1 0 11 1 0 0 2015 06 21 136 79 1410 0 -999 * 5 4 0 19 2 1 0 2015 06 22 135 77 1320 1 -999 B6.3 4 1 0 10 1 1 0 2015 06 23 116 61 1070 0 -999 B5.0 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 2015 06 24 110 39 740 0 -999 B4.4 4 0 0 4 1 0 0 2015 06 25 102 33 580 0 -999 B4.2 1 1 0 3 0 0 1 2015 06 26 101 28 550 0 -999 B3.5 3 0 0 10 0 0 0 2015 06 27 97 25 430 0 -999 B3.3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 06 28 97 39 220 2 -999 B4.1 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 2015 06 29 97 36 180 1 -999 B4.1 6 0 0 3 1 0 0 2015 06 30 101 41 270 1 -999 B3.2 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 2015 07 01 109 49 380 0 -999 B3.6 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2015 07 02 114 73 340 2 -999 B4.0 5 0 0 2 2 0 0 2015 07 03 112 91 340 1 -999 B3.7 7 1 0 17 1 0 0 2015 07 04 117 111 390 2 -999 B3.2 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 roduct: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2015 Jul 05 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 186 Issued at 0030Z on 05 Jul 2015 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 04 Jul I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 04/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2373 N16W14 144 0100 Cso 08 08 Beta 2375 S10E04 126 0040 Hsx 02 01 Alpha 2376 N12E02 128 0090 Dao 09 07 Beta 2377 S10W65 195 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha 2378 S16E44 086 0090 Cso 04 04 Beta 2379 S14E33 097 0020 Cro 05 05 Beta 2380 N08W29 159 0010 Hrx 02 01 Alpha 2381 N16E57 073 0030 Cro 04 04 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 04/2400Z Jul Nmbr Location Lo 2374 N10W85 215 II. Regions Due to Return 05 Jul to 07 Jul Nmbr Lat Lo 2367 S19 020 2372 N20 011
UPDATE 7-7-15 0200 UTC This latest spectacular image from the Solar Dynamics Observatory shows a coronal hole on the solar equator as it approaches the mid point of the visible disk. It is located a few degrees north of region 2379. The low level solar wind stream created by the region will reach Earth late on 7-10-15 and peak around 7-11-15 at 0000 UTC.
Update 7-6-15 1430 UTC Region 2381 Alert Over the past few days Region 2381 has been growing in size and strength. The region is located at a northern latitude of about 15 degrees and an easterly longitude of about 30 degrees. It should reach 0 longitude which is the Earth-Sun line in about 48 to 72 hours. As with the previous regions at this latitude, moderate Earth directed SWE's can be expected over the coming days.
