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Space Weather Warning

Discussion in 'Amateur Radio News' started by KG7QCK, Jun 21, 2015.

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  1. K5GHS

    K5GHS Ham Member QRZ Page

    I only have a 2m loop (working on getting a beam) but I worked a station last night even with it. I can imagine the guys with rotators and stuff were having a blast last night.
     
  2. KG7QCK

    KG7QCK Ham Member QRZ Page

  3. W1YW

    W1YW Ham Member QRZ Page

    6M-- 6/24 to 6/25

    Without benefit of additional data, here is my prediction on 6M starting 2200 UTC 24 June:

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    2200-2300 UTC: N/S openings in US, W4 openings to SA/Carib. Possible EU to FN/FM prop.

    2300-0000 UTC: Major CONUS opening follows the Sun going West; FN grids into DM grids for example

    0000-0100UTC : Major Q- fest from 50080 to 50180. FN into CM and CN grids possible

    0100-0200UTC: EL to EN/DM grids, some DN and CN to FN/FM grids. Some AU. Many BAND DROPOUTS followed by TURNONS. WATCH FOR INTERMITTENT BAND CONDITIONS. If you turn the rig off, you may miss an opening 10 minutes later!

    0200-0300UTC: Aurora dominated propagation. The RASP is BACK.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IF YOU HAVE 6M ON YOUR RIG, this is THE time to throw on a tuner and load up a 17m or 15m antenna--or make a quick 6m one! Contacts are short and usually are just sig report and GRID SQUARE.

    LOOK AT YOUR QRZ BIO (details) to GET YOUR GRID SQUARE:)
    .

    73
    Chip W1YW
     
  4. KD0WAN

    KD0WAN XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    10 meters yesterday on SSB was very good, but short hops. I made most contacts in GA. best around 1700-1900 Central time on Tuesday.

    73s -

    Bill KD0WAN
     
  5. WA9JOQ

    WA9JOQ XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    This appears to be a blessing to VHF but it is really shutting down dx and even most stateside on 20, 17 and 15 meters. Hope it all gets back to "normal" soon. I miss the activity on HF.

    Bob
    WA9JOQ
     
  6. NU4R

    NU4R XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    Hope my homeowners insurance covers this.
     
  7. AA3EE

    AA3EE Ham Member QRZ Page

    I've worked quite a few grids with a horizontal dipole mounted 19" above a cookie sheet, and a 25W mobile rig.

    Dave AA3EE
     
  8. KG7QCK

    KG7QCK Ham Member QRZ Page

    Latest Update 6-25-15 0100 UTC

    It appears this evenings CME passed above the Earth with little fanfare.

    1. There may be some geomagnetic interaction on Sunday 6-28-15 as the effects of a coronal hole sweep past the Earth.

    Latest WSA-ENLIL Timeline: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction

    2. The National Solar Observatory Global Oscillation Network Group (GONG) is showing only one active region on the far side of the sun which may rotate into Earth around 7-6-15.

    Latest GONG Far and Earth Side Plot: http://gong2.nso.edu/oQR/fqg/201506/mrfqg150624/mrfqg150624t0000.jpg

    3. The HARP system is showing no other significant regions except 2371 which should rotate to the far side of the sun by 6-29-15.

    Latest HARP Earth Side Plot: http://jsoc.stanford.edu/doc/data/hmi/harp/harp_nrt/latest_nrt.png

    4. There is a chance of Hyder Flare's (a CME with no flare) that are created by dark filaments that are located in the regions above the solar surface. These can break away and throw matter towards the Earth.

    The current images show a filament currently moving towards solar center. (Left of center).

    SDO Latest Images: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/

    You can view latest reports, images, plots, and analysis at: http://www.sweoc.org/. In the documentation help files is a link to a You Tube Space Weather Video "Attack of the Sun"

    :cool:73's
    Keith
    KG7QCK
    Tucson, AZ
     
  9. W4KVW

    W4KVW Ham Member QRZ Page

    6 meters is a lot more FUN than HF anyway since HF is EASY.Working the world on 6 meters has always been a much tougher challenge so let it stay the way it is for a while.6 meters is after all the Magic Band & the Magic is Great right now.When all of the bands are Open I'll take 6 meters every time over any other band. ;) :p

    Clayton
    W4KVW
    EM80
     
  10. K5TRI

    K5TRI XML Subscriber QRZ Page


    Just remember, all magic comes with a price :).

    And I agree, 6m and up is where the fun begins :)
     
  11. W1YW

    W1YW Ham Member QRZ Page

    Yep. A fizzle..

    Worked three Arizona though...

    Suddenly realized I am down to needing 5 states.

    73
    Chip W1YW
     
  12. KG7QCK

    KG7QCK Ham Member QRZ Page

    Update 1930 UTC 6-25-15

    Last evenings disturbance started about 3 hours after the passage of the CME. The GOES 15 magnetometer rocketed to over 200 nano Tesla and remained above that level for over 10 hours. At this posting the level is still hovering above this level.

    At about 0832 UTC region 2371 produced an M9 flare and radio burst.

    The past and new events have pushed the unsettled conditions into this weekend with a forecast G3 storm watch for the Radio Field Day activities.

    Timeline: http://sweoc.org/SWPC_COND_ALERT_TIMELINE.html

    Once region 2371 rotates to the far side of the sun by the end of this weekend, sunspot activity will drop to near 0 levels (currently 39).

    To see sunspot history (1749 to 2015) and watch the trend visit: http://www.sweoc.org/GRAPE_Sunspot_History.html

    The current Solar Cycle 24 may be ending a few years early which indicates a long period of minimal sunspot activity. Activity similar to this week can still occur with few sunspots on the visible disk.

    :cool:73's
    Keith
    KG7QCK
     
  13. W6RZ

    W6RZ Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    The GOES 15 magnetometer looks broken (or at least way out of calibration) to me.
     
  14. KG7QCK

    KG7QCK Ham Member QRZ Page

    I think the GEOS 15 got whacked really hard. It looks like it is saturated as the particles are probably still clinging to the satellite's surface. It is still working but may take more time to find out if it was indeed damaged. It did not effect GOES 13 at West 75 longitude.

    CORRECTION: This weekends storm level is G2, not G3 at this hour.
     
  15. KG7QCK

    KG7QCK Ham Member QRZ Page

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