When are the good openings coming back...

Discussion in 'Ham Radio Discussions' started by KB4MNG, Oct 31, 2019.

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  1. N1FM

    N1FM Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    Yeah, I thought this was interesting too - from July of this year.


    July 8, 2019: Solar Cycle 25 is coming to life. For the second time this month, a sunspot from the next solar cycle has emerged in the sun’s southern hemisphere. Numbered “AR2744”, it is inset in this magnetic map of the sun’s surface from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory:

    How do we know this sunspot belongs to Solar Cycle 25? Its magnetic polarity tells us so. Southern sunspots from old Solar Cycle 24 have a -/+ polarity. This sunspot is the opposite: +/-. According to Hale’s Law, sunspots switch polarities from one solar cycle to the next. AR2744 is therefore a member of Solar Cycle 25.

    Solar cycles always mix together at their boundaries. Right now we are experiencing the tail end of decaying Solar Cycle 24. AR2744 shows that we are simultaneously experiencing the first stirrings of Solar Cycle 25. The transition between Solar Cycle 24 and Solar Cycle 25 is underway.

    Shortlived “ephemeral sunspots” belonging to Solar Cycle 25 have already been reported on Dec. 20, 2016; April 8, 2018; Nov. 17, 2018; May 28, 2019 and July 1, 2019. Today’s sunspot is more important than those earlier examples because it has lasted long enough to receive a numerical designation: AR2744. Record-keepers will likely mark this as the first official sunspot of Solar Cycle 25.

    This development does not mean Solar Minimum is finished. On the contrary, low solar activity will probably continue for at least another year [July 2020] as Solar Cycle 24 decays and Solar Cycle 25 slowly sputters to life. AR2744 is an important sign, however, that the next solar cycle is approaching.

  2. KM1H

    KM1H Ham Member QRZ Page

    There may be some truth to the old saying that major contests create their own propagation.

    K8BZ, W2AI, KE0GXN and 1 other person like this.
  3. W1VT

    W1VT Ham Member QRZ Page

    Contest activity shows the usefulness of building a good station with effective antennas versus getting by with an "all band antenna."

    Maybe you can't put up good antennas for all bands. But how about putting up a good antenna for your favorite band?
    W2AI likes this.
  4. KE0EYJ

    KE0EYJ Ham Member QRZ Page

    Too many people have found solace in crappy multiband wondertennas that are worse than can be built with 2 pieces of wire, and FT8.

    There is another issue that has not been discussed -- younger generations (and some middle-aged/older folk) are more comfortable with text communications than actual speech. I see it at my university, as well. There is less interest in verbal social interaction, unless really necessary. They prefer messaging. I used to call all 110 of my students at midterm, and ask them how things were going. I stopped last year, because it freaked-out so many when I did it. They used to like it, and praised me for doing it. In the past few years, I noticed a trend toward utter discomfort with the latest crop or two of Freshman.
    KE0GXN and (deleted member) like this.
  5. K0MB

    K0MB Ham Member QRZ Page

    Better conditions don't "just happen;" they must be EARNED!
    K8BZ likes this.
  6. K1VSK

    K1VSK Ham Member QRZ Page

    Every cycle, we hear the same complaint about band conditions as though it’s something new. Deal with it!

    (Written while listening to VU7RI loud on 20CW working the world).
  7. KU4X

    KU4X Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    When are the good openings coming back?

    As soon as all the band condx whiners sell their gear for a song. :D

  8. KQ2N

    KQ2N XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    You nailed it!!
    WA9SVD and K8BZ like this.

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