I am confused (as usual). I am a big follower of Tamitha As she predicted as the fairly big group of sunspots moved out of the earthside the SFI dropped including down to 69 today, even a bit lower than she predicted. And the minor solar storms seem to have missed us again- at least at mid-latitudes. However, I am on a 17m group and today was better propagation than a few days ago when SFI got up to 80! Also, today (Wed) we moved to 15m with some openings and it appears there were some 10 and 6m openings in some places in the US. I believe 6m is usually due to other factors not just flux etc. I have a lot to learn and folks here are far more expert but the only thing I can think of is the idea that ionization has to build up for a few days after more sunspots and higher SFI. So maybe today even with SFI lower we are experiencing the build-up of F layer ionization from the previous sunspot clusters? And the good news is there appears to be more coming earthside from the backside per Stereo A data as she points out in the latest update.
thanks for sharing your idea. but you are completely wrong. the reality based community uses objective verifiable observations to confirm coherent hypotheses and theories. I suspect you have none of that.
I agree with K6CLS that we have to call out all attempts to claim that science is anything other than FACT. Tamitha's forecasts are based on observations which can be independently verified by anyone from open sources.
THE SUN IS BLANK: Today, the sun looks like an orange billiard ball. It is blank, without sunspots, for the 4th day in a row. Young Solar Cycle 25 is still struggling to drag the sun out of a century-class Solar Minimum, so occasional spotless days are to be expected. A new sunspot might appear before the end of the week. Sunspot number: 0 Spotless Days Current Stretch: 4 days 2021 total: 45 days (36%) 2020 total: 208 days (57%) 2019 total: 281 days (77%) 2018 total: 221 days (61%) 2017 total: 104 days (28%) 2016 total: 32 days (9%) 2015 total: 0 days (0%) 2014 total: 1 day (<1%) 2013 total: 0 days (0%) 2012 total: 0 days (0%) 2011 total: 2 days (<1%) 2010 total: 51 days (14%) 2009 total: 260 days (71%) 2008 total: 268 days (73%) 2007 total: 152 days (42%) 2006 total: 70 days (19%) The Radio Sun 10.7 cm flux: 70 sfu
It's not just the SFI number, the K +A are a factor. There's some good explanations if you do a web search. The ARRL has some pretty good stuff too.
