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Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Released

Discussion in 'Ham Radio Discussions' started by KK4NSF, Apr 7, 2019.

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  1. KK4NSF

    KK4NSF Ham Member QRZ Page


    On Friday the National Weather Service (USA) released it's Solar Cycle 25 prediction. Essentially it says:
    1. The current solar cycle, Cycle 24, is declining and predicted to reach solar minimum - the period when the Sun is least active - late in 2019 or 2020.

    2. Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel experts said Solar Cycle 25 may have a slow start, but is anticipated to peak with solar maximum occurring between 2023 and 2026, and a sunspot range of 95 to 130. This is well below the average number of sunspots, which typically ranges from 140 to 220 sunspots per solar cycle. The panel has high confidence that the coming cycle should break the trend of weakening solar activity seen over the past four cycles.

    What this mean is that for the rest of this year, conditions on HF are not going to be great. Starting in 2020, they will begin to improve... but only slowly. For HF DXers, it's going to be tough for a while. That does not mean though that radio will be dead..... there are a lot of bands and activities that are not dependent on the Ionosphere.

    You can read the report and find links to other related topics at :

  2. K7MH

    K7MH Ham Member QRZ Page

    Bigger beams, bigger amps!!
    KC8YLT and K5ABB like this.
  3. W4PG

    W4PG Super Moderator Lifetime Member 279 Volunteer Moderator Platinum Subscriber Life Member QRZ Page

    Time will tell but at least it's not a prediction for another Maunder Minimum. Maybe I'll get to see 10 meters open around the world once more!
    W4CWL, WZ7U and W7UUU like this.
  4. W3ATV

    W3ATV XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    I can predict with 100% accuracy that the next cycle will be better than, worse than, or equal to the previous cycle. I guarantee it!
    W1TRY likes this.
  5. K7MH

    K7MH Ham Member QRZ Page

    You should have been a stock broker!:D
    NL7W, W3ATV, K4AGO and 1 other person like this.
  6. KK4NSF

    KK4NSF Ham Member QRZ Page

    or a politician!
    NL7W, AC8UN and W3ATV like this.
  7. KP4SX

    KP4SX Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    That's what its looking like with all the evidence!
    W3ATV likes this.
  8. KC8VWM

    KC8VWM Ham Member QRZ Page

    New prediction model:

    Throw darts... Wherever it lands marks cycle 25.
    Last edited: Apr 8, 2019
    KA4DPO and W3ATV like this.
  9. KP4SX

    KP4SX Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    That Magnetic Pole wandering all over the place must be a factor as well.
    KA4DPO, W3ATV and KC8VWM like this.
  10. KK5JY

    KK5JY Ham Member QRZ Page

    Long live 160m.
    KI3U and W3ATV like this.

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