Solar Cycle 25 could be a bumper one!

Discussion in 'Ham Radio Discussions' started by 2E0RLR, Jun 13, 2021.

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  1. 2E0RLR

    2E0RLR Ham Member QRZ Page

    W4IOA likes this.
  2. WA9SVD

    WA9SVD Ham Member QRZ Page

    PU2OZT, KA4DPO and 2E0RLR like this.
  3. 2E0RLR

    2E0RLR Ham Member QRZ Page

    11 years?.. more like the next 3!!
     
    K0UO likes this.
  4. W7HV

    W7HV Ham Member QRZ Page

    Interesting article. So far, it seems to be just finding a pattern in relatively random data. I don't see any theory or proposed mechanism behind it. Will it keep going or it will in disappear into the noise like so many other ephemeral patterns you can find in random data. Won't take more than a couple of years to find out.
     
    Last edited: Jun 13, 2021
    N8ZL and 2E0RLR like this.
  5. WA9SVD

    WA9SVD Ham Member QRZ Page

    The "terminator event" seems real enough; whether it predicts (or foretells) a stronger cycle (25) than the last remains to be seen. At least, we are finally on the upswing of Cycle 25. so propagation HAS to get better!
     
    PU2OZT and 2E0RLR like this.
  6. W7HV

    W7HV Ham Member QRZ Page

    Right. It's real, and so are solar cycles, but the correlation can easily be just random noise. It's like streaks in gambling. If there are no streaks in something that is supposed to be random, it's not random. Toss a coin. If it lands heads every other toss, it's not random. If it's random, it'll sometimes land heads 3 times in a row, sometime 8 times in a row, and even (very rarely) not in 10 tosses. Is the correlation between the terminators and solar cycle just a random streak, or is there actually a causal relationship?
     
  7. W6KLH

    W6KLH Platinum Subscriber Platinum Subscriber QRZ Page

    I still can't shake the feeling that Cycle 25 is going to be weak -like the last one.
     
  8. K8XG

    K8XG XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    I think it will be Strong...
     
    WA9SVD and W7UUU like this.
  9. G8ADD

    G8ADD Ham Member QRZ Page

    It is currently running higher than predicted, I hope that continues.
     
    WA9SVD likes this.
  10. KI5WW

    KI5WW Ham Member QRZ Page

    Later today I will be making an offering to the Propagation Gods.
     
    PU2OZT, KN4LGM, K0UO and 1 other person like this.

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