New Hurricane Heading for Florida Panhandle

Discussion in 'Ham Radio Discussions' started by NL7W, Oct 9, 2018.

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  1. WB2WIK

    WB2WIK Platinum Subscriber Platinum Subscriber QRZ Page

    "Sugarloaf Mountain" is 312 feet above sea level and the highest prominence in Florida.

    You can see the steep climb in the photo: 4WD country for sure, and watch out for skiers!
    [​IMG]
     
    K9ASE, NL7W, N0TZU and 1 other person like this.
  2. NL7W

    NL7W Ham Member QRZ Page

    HURRICANE UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY 4!
    Batten down the hatches and get the heck outta that area!


    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Michael Advisory Number 15
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
    400 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

    ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 MICHAEL STRENGTHENS
    FURTHER AS IT HEADS NORTHWARD TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
    ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY
    RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Michael was located
    near latitude 28.3 North, longitude 86.5 West. Michael is moving
    toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the north-
    northeast is expected this morning, with a turn toward the northeast
    expected this afternoon or tonight. A motion toward the northeast at
    a faster forward speed is forecast on Thursday and Friday. On the
    forecast track, the eye of Michael is expected to move ashore over
    the Florida Panhandle later today, move northeastward across the
    southeastern United States tonight and Thursday, and then move off
    the Mid-Atlantic coast away from the United States on Friday.

    Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
    that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 140 mph (220
    km/h) with higher gusts. Michael is an extremely dangerous category
    4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some
    additional strengthening is possible before landfall. After
    landfall, Michael should weaken as it crosses the southeastern
    United States.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
    (295 km). NOAA buoy 42039 to the northeast of the center recently
    reported sustained winds of 54 mph (85 km/h) and a wind gust of
    63 mph (101 km/h).

    The estimated minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter
    aircraft data is 943 mb (27.85 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
    tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
    potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
    occurs at the time of high tide...

    Tyndall Air Force Base FL to Keaton Beach FL...9-13 ft
    Okaloosa/Walton County Line FL to Tyndall Air Force Base FL...6-9 ft
    Keaton Beach FL to Cedar Key FL...6-9 ft
    Cedar Key FL to Chassahowitzka FL...4-6 ft
    Chassahowitzka to Anna Maria Island FL including Tampa Bay...2-4 ft

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
    warning area along the U.S. Gulf Coast today, with tropical storm
    conditions expected to begin during the next few hours. Hurricane
    conditions will also spread well inland across portions of the
    Florida Panhandle, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia.

    Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning
    area during the next several hours, and are possible within the
    tropical storm watch area by that time. Hurricane conditions are
    possible within the hurricane watch area today.

    Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread northward within
    the warning area along the southeast U.S. coast beginning tonight,
    and are possible in the watch area by late Thursday and Thursday
    night.

    RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce the following rainfall
    amounts through Friday...

    Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, southeast Alabama, and portions of
    southwest and central Georgia...4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum
    amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening
    flash floods.

    The remainder of Georgia, the Carolinas, and southern Virginia...3
    to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. This
    rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods.

    Florida Peninsula, eastern Mid Atlantic, southern New England
    coast...1-3 inches.

    Statement as of 4 AM Central: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/100848.shtml
    Update Statement as of 6 AM Central: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT4+shtml/101059.shtml?
     
    Last edited: Oct 10, 2018
  3. K3KIC

    K3KIC Ham Member QRZ Page

    It's amazing what you buy when it's not your money.
     
    KK5JY, W7TRD and N2EY like this.
  4. N2EY

    N2EY XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    AGW, anyone?
     
  5. KA4DPO

    KA4DPO Platinum Subscriber Platinum Subscriber QRZ Page

    Trust me, in Florida 300 feet is a mountain. My house in Melbourne was only about 30 feet above sea level and just on the inland side of the Indian River, enough to protect us from storm surge. I knew a lot of people who were not as lucky.
     
  6. K4PIH

    K4PIH Ham Member QRZ Page

    Actually I thought Britton Hill was the highest point in Florida at 345ft.
     
  7. KP4SX

    KP4SX Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    Pretty crummy idea to try and politicize the storm and people's misery. Is that something like blaming the victim?.
     
    K9ASE and WZ7U like this.
  8. N2EY

    N2EY XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    It's not about politics nor blaming anyone.

    It's about science.....and the choices made.
     
    N2UHC, W4ZD and AG5DB like this.
  9. KP4SX

    KP4SX Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    Save it for when that's what the topic is about.
     
    K9ASE, WZ7U, KA4DPO and 1 other person like this.
  10. KA9JLM

    KA9JLM Ham Member QRZ Page

    When is it due to make landfall ?
     
    KA4DPO likes this.

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