Impact of CME estimated for Feb 14. 1200 UTC

Discussion in 'Amateur Radio News' started by VE7DXW, Feb 14, 2018.

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  1. VE7DXW

    VE7DXW Ham Member QRZ Page

    Hi Everybody;

    Please turn on your 6m RIG on Feb. 14 at 12:00 UTC!

    There was explosion on the sun and the CME is Earth directed!

    This could be the strongest CME to hit earth in the last year. The plasma density is going to hit at 12:00 UTC time. (see image below from

    This will cause sporadic E for 6m and it will mostly be directed to Africa, Europe and eastern South and North America.

    Make sure you turn on your 6m rig tomorrow when the storm starts.

    All the best and 73;

    Alex – VE7DXW

    ON5TA likes this.
  2. VE7DXW

    VE7DXW Ham Member QRZ Page

    Hi Everybody;

    40m skip to Australia from the West Coast of America and Europe!

    Click here to view conditions on WSPR:

    Current conditions at the MDSR test station:

    80m closed S8 pulsating noise

    40m open S3

    30m open S4

    20m open S2

    15m closed S0

    10m closed S0

    Watch it live here:

    All the best and 73;

    Alex - VE7DXW
  3. KQ6XA

    KQ6XA Ham Member QRZ Page

    All is quiet on the western front.
    It is 14 February at 2020UTC now.
    Not much of a blip is seen on the GOES X-ray Flux.
    The K index is ZERO. See graphs.


    NL7W, KK5JY, VE7DXW and 1 other person like this.
  4. WB8LBZ

    WB8LBZ XML Subscriber QRZ Page


    73, Larry WB8LBZ
    El Paso, TX
    VE7DXW likes this.
  5. VE7DXW

    VE7DXW Ham Member QRZ Page

    Hi Bonnie and Everyone;

    Solar particles do not show up as flux and if the particle flow is steady you can not see the change in propagation in these indicators.

    I recommend you use the WSA-EnLIL too from NOAA: here's the link

    Also the cloud came in earlier that expected and it was not as dense and as fast as predicted. So lots of worldwide propagation for anything below 15m.

    All the best and 73;

    Alex - VE7DXW
    NL7W likes this.
  6. KQ6XA

    KQ6XA Ham Member QRZ Page

    Last edited: Feb 14, 2018
    VE7DXW likes this.
  7. W6ERM

    W6ERM XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    At first I thought the image was a button on a leather chair.
    VE7DXW likes this.
  8. WB8VLC

    WB8VLC Ham Member QRZ Page

    The new meaning of CME = COMPLETELY MISSED EARTH.
    W4KVW, KD9VV, K4DJQ and 4 others like this.
  9. VE7DXW

    VE7DXW Ham Member QRZ Page

    NOAA issued Geomagnetic warning...

    Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
    Serial Number: 3412
    Issue Time: 2018 Feb 15 1334 UTC

    WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
    Valid From: 2018 Feb 15 1335 UTC
    Valid To: 2018 Feb 15 1800 UTC
    Warning Condition: Onset
    Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
  10. KD9VV

    KD9VV Ham Member QRZ Page

    Ya..pretty much a prop fizzle.
    Had a better Es opening a month ago with clashing hot/cold position dependaent air masses, which BTW is what I prefer to look for in 6M openings.
    VE7DXW likes this.

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