Geomagnetic Storm ! X-Flare

Discussion in 'Amateur Radio News' started by W5TXR, Oct 29, 2021.

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  1. W5TXR

    W5TXR XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    A geomagnetic storm be concerned about arriving 31 OCT 21
    G2-G3 Storm 40% chance of major storm. Possible radio blackouts.

    KI4RBI, KI7JOC, IU0DFK and 18 others like this.
  2. KJ7QQG

    KJ7QQG Ham Member QRZ Page

    On HamClock yesterday, it said we got a X1.0 flare. The DRAP went through the roof, too; but there were no blackouts. The NOAA "Space Wx" function says that there's more stuff to come in a few days. Did the flare come 3 days early, or is the worst to come?
    M1WML likes this.
  3. KJ7QQG

    KJ7QQG Ham Member QRZ Page

    Never mind. Looking at other forums having to do with the flare, it's the latter. I've only been a ham for a year so I'd like to see what it does to the DX conditions.
    AA8GK, KC1OCA, WX6SWW and 4 others like this.
  4. NK9Y

    NK9Y Ham Member QRZ Page

    Welcome to the hobby young man! I've seldom worried about the flares, as they come, and go. Usually short lived. Have you been on 12 through 17 meters the past few days? DX 'O plenty! 73
    AA8GK, WX6SWW, K4WH and 1 other person like this.
  5. KJ7QQG

    KJ7QQG Ham Member QRZ Page

    I usually stick on 20 for PSK31 stuff. I just hit Europe yesterday for all continents, so I'll give DXing a break for now. :)
    AA8GK, M1WML, W3KKO and 2 others like this.
  6. NK9Y

    NK9Y Ham Member QRZ Page

    20's a good band too. Congratulations on the continents, one goal down, plenty more to go. C U L
    M1WML likes this.
  7. W4PG

    W4PG Super Moderator Lifetime Member 279 Volunteer Moderator Platinum Subscriber Life Member QRZ Page

    Was first licensed in 1970 age 12. Soon thereafter I went into the shack and turned the radio on . . . NOTHING. NO signals, NOTHING. I started checking everything, my antenna and connections, coax, etc but all seemed OK but I could hear NOTHING.

    It was my first experience with a solar storm that had wiped out the ionosphere. Didn't last but maybe an hour or so but it was . . . interesting as a new ham.

    N7ZV, KB1MM, KB9JQU and 7 others like this.
  8. KL7AJ

    KL7AJ Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    In interior Alaska, a radio blackout isn't an "event," it's a continual state of being.
    HB9EPC, WA4JHE, KB1MM and 7 others like this.
  9. DO1FER

    DO1FER Ham Member QRZ Page

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 30-Nov 01 2021

    Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov 01
    00-03UT 2 7 (G3) 3
    03-06UT 3 6 (G2) 4
    06-09UT 2 5 (G1) 3
    09-12UT 2 5 (G1) 3
    12-15UT 5 (G1) 4 2
    15-18UT 6 (G2) 4 2
    18-21UT 6 (G2) 3 2
    21-00UT 7 (G3) 3 3

    Thats the forecast of NOAA for the next hours. Up to a G3 it will reach this time some regions which are below of the standard northern ones. So that the green light in the northern sky will turn up to red in the southern regions, which will maybe have a chance this time to see something. At next some abnormal and rare cloud phenomena can be caused too.
    M1WML likes this.
  10. W0JKT

    W0JKT Premium Subscriber QRZ Page

    The shock wave with high levels of protons takes about 3 days to reach earth after the Solar flare - depending on the speed of the solar wind pushing the shock wave along. Have started to see somewhat increased solar wind speeds but not nearly the 1200 km/s some are predicting.

    We know an X1 flare happened which can cause radio blackout for up to 3 days, unlike lesser proton flares which only last a few hours such as I believe Xray and Gamma rays. However, it all depends on how it hits the earth. Earth effects are still an emerging science as its very complex. We have satellites that can detect the flares but as approaches earth and interacts with earth magnetic fields gets very complicated. Northern lattitudes have the most effect of the magnetic currents.

    The good news is immediately after it all passes should be more ionization to increase flux, although we have been over 100 now for about a day. If all goes as predicted (big if), probably some radio blackouts on Sat/Sunday if the shock wave hits earth.

    Now at the start of the CQ contest bands have been wide open on SSB. After 20m lost its daytime ionization 40m is very active. The nets such as HHH are having a hard time with all the QRM from contesters.

    I am just starting to try and understand the complications
    HB9EPC, M1WML, KD8DWO and 1 other person like this.

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