What will happen to ham radio in 25 years?
Here are some suggestions as to what will ham in ham radio 25 years from now.
1. The government will sell off spectrum to pay for the national debt which will be in the multiple trillion range
2. People will keep getting more nasty to each other and as more hams are licensed with less spectrum available.
3. Older tube style communications equipment ( Drake, Collins, Hallicrafters, War surplus,etc) will become much more sought-after items by collectors. Owning tube equipment will become “cool.”
4. The internet will become more and more interlinked to amateur communications.
5. CW, although no longer a requirement for licensing, will continue to be learned by some young hams because of the “crossover” from “texting”
6. More hams will be licensed as rapid memorization internet courses are taken.
7. Ham radio will become just one class of license because of cost-cutting measures.
3, 4, and 5 have already happened.
As our "best" spectrum from a commercial standpoint is still shared on a secondary basis with the military, they'd have to be willing to get rid of it first. We may lose some, but even in 25 years I can't see things getting to the point where it's that nasty because of overcrowding.
If it should become really nasty due to overcrowding, we serious hams might move to 11-meters since that service will have been vacated by all the nasty operators who became hams. And the pendulum keeps on swinging.
But seriously, Amateur Radio will continue to shine even with time's inevitable changes. We're already seeing no-code Techs becoming intrigued enough to learn and use Morse code. Even without a licensing requirement the interest is there. The same goes for other bands, modes, and activities. If it looks interesting, folks will make the effort to get into it.
I believe that Amateur Radio will remain healthy and strong well into the future.
42 years in Amateur Radio
I don't really get the connection between CW and texting. You could spend your entire life texting on a cell phone and that won't give you the vaguest idea how to send or copy code. Nor do I see any clear reason why texting would inspire an interest in morse code.
There will still be 'spirited' discussions going on for what filament voltage to run on a 3-500A amplifier.
Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn’t go away.
I did not favor any of the choices , so no vote .
Being 58 & a new ham 4-5 yrs. , I have a lot of catching up to do .
At this time any digital is for internet / computer , not ham radio , but who knows about the future .
Studying for extra now , I missed by 1 last yr. , but I want to understand the info , to able to make my gear work efficiently and be able to repair & build , I replaced the leaky SMD caps in my Kenwood TS-850 , besides some tube gear .
Next , I want to learn CW , for all kinds of reasons , the thing that gets me is how many are using keyboard-CW , at least when I go to club station .
I have not decided which key , bug etc. to use yet
Originally Posted by KC2SIZ
Morse to twitter post is already possible and you can keep your eyes on the road
Ham contacts will have to be dhs approved and will take place only via digital modes with a signal strength and call exchange being the limit of communication.
now with true viterbi decoder!
I actually think we will continue to get more spectrum. Our spectrum has grown and in reality this spectrum is no longer so critical to the government.
Be sure to listen for my beacon on 28.278.8 MHz
I think as time passes CW will fade away and very few ops will carry it on as digital modes advance and replace it altogether but for a few die hards. Spectrum will increase for digital modes and phone usage as some of the very wide modes are done away with and narrow band modes replace it.
CW a crossover from texting?? I have no idea where that came from, one has nothing to do with the other even remotely.
73 de Fred N0AZZ
The License is Only Your Starting Point in Radio!
MVDX/CC of SW MO., DX Hogs, OARS, NARC, NCDXF
ARRL member, ARRL and W5YI VE
DX the thrill of the chase
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