Sunspot Cycle 24 Out without a BANG?, Another "Maunder Minimum"?, Social unrest?
Straight out of the gates ..... no politics or religion, please.
I'm smart enough to know that real "trends" in the grand scheme of things are longer than a single man or woman's life, however I'm beginning to give this "Maunder Minimum" phenomenon a real look. It is fact, not a theory.
I don't know about you and where you live, but it's cold in the South, and it's been that way for some time now. I know ... not long enough to be statistically important. Never the less, it has been a colder than usual winter (I have the utility bills to prove it) than any of my memory.
The long heralded Sunspot Cycle number 24 has waffled so far. While it is to be seen what will actually happen, it sure looks like this is some sort of minimum developing. A mini ice age happened the last time such an event occurred.
While the lack of sun spots and associated propagation may not be of significance to any but a few hobbyists, a mini-ice age is a real cause for concern. Feeding 6+ billion people doesn't happen by accident. Hungry people, of which we already have too many, will get more than a little restless when food stocks drop and inflationary pressures take staples out of their reach. Imagine the current inflation in food commodities (already fed by energy prices in the US) tripling, or worse due to global temps dropping.
Is there a question here? I'm confused . . .
ex-W4DFW Ham since 1970. ARRL Life Member and Volunteer Counsel
I think 24 is pretty much on target (if a little laggy) with all the predictions... Hardly a Maunder Minimum, no? http://www.solarcycle24.com/trends.htm
sunspots and climatology are in debate. I think if you check you will find that there was a very high number of volcanic activity coincident with the M.M., a more likely and well known cause of climate cooling.
It's an 11 year cycle. 11 years is a long time. There's no way you will see "solar maximum" type conditions anytime soon. Things will improve VERY gradually.
Actually, the normal sunspot cycle resembles a sawtooth wave more closely than it does a sine wave. Usually, the maximum occurs quite rapidly after a minimum, but it decays more slowly.
The big one, Cycle 19 peaked at around 240 in 1957, only 3 years after the 1954 minimum.
Even during prolonged minima, the 11 year cycle is still there, but the peaks are extremely feeble.
According to data presented in this article, we are overdue for a prolonged minimum.
— Hard Core AM since 1959
Not to worry, the sun will explode into a nova and it will be lights out (literally).
As said in 2010 a space odyssey, "You must leave in 2 days. Something wonderful is going to happen".
Why worry, be happy.
In the subject?
Originally Posted by W4PG
Be sure to listen for my beacon on 28.278.8 MHz