The HF Oracle Prognostication for Solar Cycle 25

Discussion in 'Amateur Radio News' started by KQ6XA, Sep 4, 2018.

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  1. KQ6XA

    KQ6XA Ham Member QRZ Page

    Today, The High Frequency Oracle emerged from a trance at her Solar Observatory on a remote mountaintop, to announce foreboding predictions for the upcoming Solar Cycle 25. These rare prognostications are made less than once per decade, during times of ionospheric despair, when the high frequency faithful seek guidance for their future.

    In keeping with tradition, the HF Oracle casts her prescient spells of propagation foresight in the obscure quatrain verses of a nearly-extinct ancient tongue, upon which learned scholars and venerable poets of magic still argue interpretation. As is customary, an image of her predicted Solar Cycle and peak sunspot number was held up for the solar pilgrims who had awaited this moment on the steps of The Observatory.

    [​IMG]
    (image permission granted by author CC-BY-SA)

    The HF Oracle Prognostication of 2018 for Solar Cycle 25

    Quatrains of the High Frequency Oracle in 2018


    Solaris Minima, saucio Mega Hertzus;
    Solaris Maximus, Radiati Potentius!
    Rogo deam salum aqua te Amplificos,
    Altus Frequencius, Ionospheri Reflec tus!

    Mors ad solaris ad minima,
    Nunc transibo ergo vallis solaris,
    Dum radiis sol sunt infirma!
    In futuris spectare debes!

    Temporis telescopiorum! Futura praedicere!
    Sol Ex Observatorio maga denuncio:
    Ego sum Oraclum ad templi ex ionosphere.
    Sal positus sum super altare is caelo.

    Exspectamus fulsere solaris ignes,
    Incantabo magicae autem solaris!
    Quod augur Sororibus inspecto es sol discus.
    Quid futurum adducere? Que videtis?

    Est anno MMXVIII et, hodie quoque annuntian:
    Quia sol est austero duo annis magis,
    Quinquennium ab hodie, sol et apicum.
    Ego praedicate nuntius anno duo milia viginti tres!

    Et apicem in solem a super verticem montis,
    Numero centum viginti erit, ex sol macula.
    Quia non promitto, alta-frequencia a maximus,
    Sed, certe, magnetismus protegens planeta nostra.

    Est scriptum in manus maga.
    Illa cantata carmina curati nos.
    Femina dicitur ad frequencia!
    Numquam locutus est malum preces.

    Undecim annis expectorum prophetiae ad novam,
    Quoniam, undecim annis ab hodie, sol et austero.
    Longo vivas tempore et bene sit. Aeternum!
    Sit vis vobiscum et bene vitae custodio.

    Roughly translated into English:

    Solar minimum, the MegaHertz are wounded!
    Solar Maximum, the radiation is powerful!
    I call upon goddess of the Salt Water Amplifier,
    Oh, high frequency ionosphere, reflect us!

    Death to the solar minimum,
    We cross the Valley of the Sun.
    While the sun is weak,
    We peer into our future.

    Time Telescope! Predict the future!
    From the Solar Observatory, the witch announces:
    I am the Oracle at The Temple of the Ionosphere,
    I hereby make a salt offering to the ionosphere!

    We look at the solar flares;
    We invoke the magic solar encantations!
    The Sisters Of Prescience study the sun's disk,
    Asked about the future: What do they see?

    It is the year 2018, and today, I declare
    The sun will be bleak for two more years;
    Five years from today, the sun will peak.
    I proclaim: This a message about year 2023!

    At the peak of next sun on top of the mountain,
    Cycle 25 sunspot number will peak at 120.
    I do not promise the high frequencies will be great,
    But, at least the magnetic field will shield our planet.

    It was written by her hands.
    She chanted the verses.
    She called for the bands!
    Never spoke evil curses.

    In 11 years from now, we will make another prophecy;
    For we will dwell in a solar minimum again eleven years from today.
    Live long, and prosper. Forever!
    May the force be with you, and watch over you.

    ... and thus it was written in September of 2018.

    (image permission granted by author CC-BY-SA)
    The_High_Frequency_Oracle_Prognostication_of_2018_for_Solar_Cycle_25_c_2018_Bonnie_Crystal_c.jpg
     
    Last edited: Sep 4, 2018
    NA4RA, W7UUU, KA8UGB and 9 others like this.
  2. KA0KA

    KA0KA Ham Member QRZ Page

    Bonnie have you seen the chart that has all the past say 4 cycles and how the maximum of 25 is not even what the min was say a few cycles back... It looked like we were in a death spiral... Simply unreal to think it is getting worse then it is now, I am in shock on how bad things have become even on 160/80M...
     
    WJ2L, N0NZG, NL7W and 1 other person like this.
  3. KQ6XA

    KQ6XA Ham Member QRZ Page

    Our recent Solar Cycle 24 was the worst cycle for HF since the invention of radio.

    [​IMG]


    Background on the HF Oracle:

    The High Frequency Oracle has brought us profound foreknowledge of Solar Cycles 20 through 25. It is rumored that as a novice prognosticator, she was tutored by her predecessor: The Greatest HF Oracle, famous for predicting 9 Solar Cycles, and drawing her last breath in 1953 after uttering the final verse of her quatrains for The Most Exalted Solar Cycle 19.

    The HF Oracle now carries that burden of The Transmission Of The Esoteric High Frequency Dharma; it having been passed down in secret ceremonies through the unbroken lineage of Great HF Oracles of prehistoric times Before Solar Cycle One; witnessed by The Ancient Order Of The High Frequency Nuns, in the innermost faraday anechoic chambers of the paramount Observatory.

    -Bonnie Crystal KQ6XA, Scribe and Chronicler of the High Frequency Oracle
     
    Last edited: Sep 5, 2018
    K5CQA, WJ2L, K0SDG and 2 others like this.
  4. KA0KA

    KA0KA Ham Member QRZ Page

    Thanks Bonnie this is exactly what I wanted to see, unreal... so sad. Time to 'move on' lol
     
    KQ6XA likes this.
  5. KA1BSZ

    KA1BSZ Ham Member QRZ Page

    the only real way to see what the next solar cycle is all about is to go through it and report back. All the predictions and forecasts never is a sure way of telling what cycle 25 is actually going to be like. It's only a guess. As reported in the last few weeks, there have been signs of cycle 25.
     
  6. KQ6XA

    KQ6XA Ham Member QRZ Page

    Here's a more detailed graph of cycles since The Great Exalted Solar Cycle 19, up through present day Solar Cycle 24.

    [​IMG]
     
  7. WA6AM

    WA6AM Ham Member QRZ Page

    The only way to know for sure is to go out and buy a radio for 10k or more. Then if you experience buyers remorse, it's bad.
    Good job Bonnie 73
     
    KT4RK, KA8UGB, VK4ZEN and 4 others like this.
  8. K5VOU

    K5VOU Ham Member QRZ Page

    This is like the scientist and the engineer trying to get across a space when each move can only be halfway.
    The scientist gives up after a few calculations but the engineer runs the series a few more terms and says; "I can get close enough for all practical purposes."

    So thanks to Joe Taylor we now have the tools to get far enough down in the noise for lousy propagation not to stop us and SDR transceivers that are better than we could even imagine a few solar cycles ago. Now if we can just get the man made crap (noise) lower we can find a way.
     
    DL7RV, N4GNO, WA2LXB and 5 others like this.
  9. KD6VXI

    KD6VXI Ham Member QRZ Page

    The digital modes, although not for me, do help a lot in this solar minimum I don't have a problem with the digi modes, people that use them, or the such. Just haven't..... Yet.

    This is also a reason to make sure your station is 100 pct, to your standards. Ferrite chokes will help reduce the proliferation of swig Jing power supplies. Good coax, as well.... Well shielded coax to keep noise out and signal in. Low loss coax to keep the signals as high as possible.

    This is also a great time to expand yourselves into sporadic E (vhf) and LF with the two new bands. No, they aren't plug and pray but this hobby wasn't meant to be!

    It's been discussed by those whom know a lot more than me that we are entering or already into a maunder minimum.

    Look it up. Explains the solar cycles pretty well. And is a great reason to go qro!

    --Shane
    KD6VXI
     
    KQ6XA and KA0KA like this.
  10. W1YW

    W1YW Ham Member QRZ Page

    There is really no other way to say it:

    CONDITIONS SUCK

    and will not be getting any better in the long run.
     
    KC2YME, 2E0EUG, N4GNO and 6 others like this.

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