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New Hope for the Coming Cycle | Space Weather News 07.12.2019

Discussion in 'Amateur Radio News' started by KB7TBT, Jul 12, 2019.

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  1. KB7TBT

    KB7TBT Ham Member QRZ Page

    New Hope for the Coming Cycle | Space Weather News 07.12.2019


     
    KA8UGB, N3UBI, YO5IA and 23 others like this.
  2. AA9NN

    AA9NN Platinum Subscriber Platinum Subscriber QRZ Page

    Good Stuff!
    Thanks!!
     
    K7YB and M1WML like this.
  3. K1LKP

    K1LKP Ham Member QRZ Page

    HI JIM,

    ONCE AGAIN, WE THANK YOU FOR
    YOUR DILIGENCE IN POSTING
    THESE SOLAR REPORTS.
    OUR CFO MEMBERS ENJOY THEM.
    73 - K1LKP
    CARMEN
     
    K7YB, M1WML and G4HBY like this.
  4. M6RGX

    M6RGX Ham Member QRZ Page

    A bit like Brexit....believe it when I see it !
     
    K8AI, DH0GME, M1WML and 1 other person like this.
  5. G1XXV

    G1XXV Ham Member QRZ Page

    I completely agree with you, Brexit should have happened back in March. Every delay makes it less likely.
     
    M6RGX and M1WML like this.
  6. N5TZH

    N5TZH Ham Member QRZ Page

    wish it would get like it was in the 70s avg sunspots 235 but I don't think its going to be
     
    M6RGX and M1WML like this.
  7. WA6QBU

    WA6QBU Ham Member QRZ Page

    I'm still working the south pacific from CA. weekly- just more work that it used to be. If you look for DX, you can still find it. But, I will be most grateful for a few new sunspots.
    Jim - WA6QBU
     
    M6RGX and M1WML like this.
  8. M1WML

    M1WML Ham Member QRZ Page

    roll on cycle 25..
     
    M6RGX likes this.
  9. W5ARM

    W5ARM XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    I really enjoy these solar (space) weather reports. Much more engaging than just looking at "Solar Ham"...HiHi!

    Also, Tamitha has recently launched a Patreon page to help support her efforts in bringing us these recorded episodes, and I encourage everyone to help her in that endeavor. Just a buck a month goes a long way!

    ~Al
    KV6ARM
     
  10. PD3ED

    PD3ED Ham Member QRZ Page

     
    M7AAQ likes this.
  11. W7TJ

    W7TJ Ham Member QRZ Page

    Entertaining...but the nice little video has not really told us a thing. Book smart but not street wise as many of us have had 50 + years of operating and solar cycle experience. Here is a better recap:

    First I wrote an article for E ham net September of 2014 Titled: "Preparing for the Propagation Winter" The reality of this is upon us. As this Link summarizes, there have been no sunspots of significance for 2 Months. ( we went for 55 consecutive days July/August of 2008 & now that has been surpassed ) Even though there are tiny tiny sunspots using "higher resolution " :) the solar flux has hardly budged from the high sixties. The driving force behind this is the lack of size, strength, and magnetic complexity of sunspots that has been on the decline since 1995 and is now such that what few sunspots that do form are not strong enough to make significant increases in the solar flux ( cycle 24 or 25. ) <Google search the Livingston and Penn studies> The author of this article is correct in that many forecasters do not want to face the implications of what is in store. There are three possible outcomes:

    1. We could see a definite bottom of cycle 24 and a
    QUICK start to cycle 25 with Large Strong high l
    latitude reverse polarity sunspots and be on our
    way to a Super Cycle. The probability of this is
    VERY LOW.

    2. We could see a long extended drawn out low similar
    to the period between cycle 23 and 24 thus ushering
    in cycle 25 that would be a mere fraction of a
    shadow of cycle 24. ( Historically one very low
    cycle will usually be followed by 1 to 2 other
    very low cycles.)

    3. Sunspots could abruptly vanish, ushering in a Dalton
    or God forbid - Maunder Minimum.

    Scenarios 2 and 3 are the most likely- which one manifests itself ...time will tell. Grand Solar minimums have occurred in the past, however no one is alive to remember them. One of the most chilling things was mentioned in an article posted some time ago on E Ham Net stating that we as Radio Amateurs have had the benefit of experiencing one of the highest longest periods of solar activity 1950 to 2009 - nothing as we all know lasts forever. Strong Sunspot cycles will eventually return.... most likely not in our Ham Radio Lifetimes.

    Randy W7TJ
     
  12. AA9NN

    AA9NN Platinum Subscriber Platinum Subscriber QRZ Page

    You got Boris now!!
     
  13. DL8NBM

    DL8NBM XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    yes, sun, make fast, I'm 75 years old. I want to experience DX, hi
     
  14. W4HM

    W4HM XML Subscriber QRZ Page

    I vote for #2 or #3 and think that #3 will win out.:(
     
  15. WA9UAA

    WA9UAA Ham Member QRZ Page

    I thought it was bad when the SFI went below 100. Spend as much time on 75M or 160M if you can, granted those are winter time bands but August is upon us.
    73,
    Rob
     

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